Lok Sabha Election Results 2024:
As the seventh and final phase of polling draws near, there is just one question on everyone’s lips — “Who will win the Lok Sabha elections 2024?” As journalists working nearly 24×7 both on the desk and the ground during the election season, we often face the ubiquitous question — “Which way is the wind blowing?” What they really mean is: “Pretty sure you have insider information on the results.” Trust me on this, journalists just diligently executing their duties without bias do not and cannot have this “insider information”. It is true, however, that journalists have party sources who may make them privy to the organisation’s internal reports, insights, and exit polls, predicting a “thumping majority” in their favour, but the “insider information” ends there.
While political pundits, experts, psephologists, and politicians themselves may claim to have “accurate” stats to support their “findings” during exit polls, there is probably no science that can “accurately” predict the results. In recent times, exit polls have been proven wrong on several occasions, such as the 2015 Delhi Assembly Polls, the 2014 Lok Sabha polls, and the 2004 Lok Sabha elections.
While political pundits, experts, psephologists, and politicians themselves may claim to have “accurate” stats to support their “findings” during exit polls, there is probably no science that can “accurately” predict the results. In recent times, exit polls have been proven wrong on several occasions, such as the 2015 Delhi Assembly Polls, the 2014 Lok Sabha polls, and the 2004 Lok Sabha elections.
Of course, exit polls may give one a fair idea about the “way in which the wind is blowing”, but that’s that. A bull’s eye “prediction” is nearly impossible.